2012-2013 Housing Outlook Rosy…Finally!
The feeling at Loon Mountain Real Estate Company and within the real estate industry in general is that the business “tweaks” that we’ve been experiencing over the last six months or so are finally becoming business “trends”! Supply continues to be strong, and now demand is starting to catch up. Buyer activity in the form of telephone calls, e-mails, walk-ins and showings has increased exponentially in the last couple of months, just in time for the busy spring, summer, and fall sales season. If you are looking to buy, prices are as low as they’ve been in years and mortgage interest rates are still at record lows. For Sellers, if you are realistic about the price you want for your property, chances are better today than they have been in a few years that your property will sell. If these indicators alone aren’t convincing enough for you to hop on board the real estate train, then let me cite some statistics from the National Association of Realtor’s Chief Economist, Lawrence Yun.
Annual Forecast
2011 2012 Forecast 2013 Forecast
Existing Home Sales 4.26 million 4.65 million 4.71 million
New Home Sales 304,000 400,000 530,000
Housing Starts 611,000 760,000 960,000
Existing Home Price $166,100 $168,000 $172,000
30-yr Mortgage 4.7% 4.3% 4.9%
What about the specific real estate market in New Hampshire which directly affects the Lincoln-Woodstock area? Did you know that 22 percent of all sales in New Hampshire so far this year were from an out-of-state buyer? In Grafton County, where Lincoln and Woodstock reside, 36 percent of buyers were from out of state. Data from 2010 and 2011 shows that out-of-state buyers typically increase during the summer and fall months. Also, New Hampshire ranks third in the nation in the percent of homes (10 percent) that are second or third homes. New Hampshire Association of Realtors columnist Peter Francese says, “There is no doubt in my mind that with many thousands of affluent Baby Boomers reaching their peak asset years, combined with more buyers from other countries, the demand for second homes in New Hampshire will continue to increase in the foreseeable future.”
Also, U.S. consumer sentiment rose to its highest level in more than four years in early May as Americans remained upbeat about the job market, a survey released recently showed. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan’s preliminary May reading on the overall index on consumer sentiment improved to 77.8 from 76.4 in April, topping forecasts for 76.2. It was the highest level since January 2008. Housing demand is very closely tied to Consumer Sentiment reading, so this is more great news as the busy purchase season ramps up.
So, the message is, whether you are a buyer or a seller, now is the time to jump into the Loon area market! For Buyers, find your dream home now before mortgage interest rates start to creep upwards and while prices are the lowest. For Sellers, if you feel the time is right for you to sell, now is the time to list your property to take advantage of the increased amount of buyers available in the peak summer and fall selling seasons!
All of us here at Loon Mountain Real Estate Company have regained our consumer confidence, have you? As we all know, the economy is driven by the housing market, so do your part for the good of the economy and call us today for a free market analysis of your property or to set up an appointment to find the home of your dreams! Here’s to a great real estate season!





